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March 24, 2025

Can ChatGPT Predict the 2025 March Madness Sweet 16?

Can ChatGPT Predict the 2025 March Madness Sweet 16?

Every March, millions of fans fill out NCAA brackets with hope, hype, and heart. But what happens when you hand that task over to artificial intelligence? With March Madness 2025 in full swing, the question isn’t just who will make the Final Four—it’s whether AI, specifically ChatGPT, can accurately predict who’s heading to the Sweet 16.

Spoiler alert: We gave it a shot. Here’s how it played out—and what it says about the power (and limitations) of AI in sports predictions.

How ChatGPT Makes Its Picks

ChatGPT doesn’t watch games. It doesn’t have “gut feelings.” Instead, it uses a blend of historical performance, team stats, trends, and matchup data to analyze potential outcomes. It considers factors like:

  • Offensive and defensive efficiency
  • Strength of schedule
  • Recent win/loss streaks
  • Player injuries and standout performances
  • Coaching history and tournament experience

It’s data, not drama. But when it comes to March Madness, even the most data-rich models can’t account for the chaos. That said, here’s what ChatGPT predicts for the 2025 Sweet 16.

ChatGPT’s 2025 Sweet 16 Picks

South Region

  • Alabama over BYU
    The Crimson Tide’s elite offense and consistent tempo give them the edge.
  • Florida over Maryland
    Florida’s gritty performance and strong guard play push them past a tough Maryland squad.

West Region

  • Duke over Arizona
    With Cooper Flagg and Khaman Maluach leading the charge, Duke gets the nod in a tight matchup.
  • Texas Tech over Arkansas
    Texas Tech’s defensive pressure proves too much for Arkansas’ Cinderella run.

East Region

  • Michigan State over Ole Miss
    MSU’s March experience and depth give them the advantage in a hard-fought game.
  • Kentucky over Tennessee
    Kentucky has Tennessee’s number this season—and that trend is expected to continue.

Midwest Region

  • Auburn over Michigan
    Michigan’s been a great story, but Auburn’s depth and discipline shine through.
  • Houston over Purdue
    Houston’s defense locks down Purdue in a physical battle of Final Four contenders.

So… Can ChatGPT Actually Predict March Madness?

The short answer? Sometimes.

AI models like ChatGPT can analyze data faster and more comprehensively than any human. But March Madness is legendary for a reason—it’s unpredictable. A hot hand, a buzzer-beater, or a cold shooting night can upend even the smartest prediction.

Still, AI gives us a fascinating lens into the game. It's not about being perfect—it's about being informed. And in a tournament where every edge counts, ChatGPT is proving to be a worthy teammate in the bracket battle.

Your move, March. Let’s see how it plays out.

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